NIFTY View For Week 23-28 March
We
had said that markets may move further down after a relief rally. For
initial 3 days of the week markets made an attempt to move up but could
not sustain the gains. In-spite
of all positive news, markets have failed to recover from its lows.
Every time it tried, but bears didn’t let the bulls take over the
downward thrust. Positive global sentiments and positive global markets
couldn’t hinder the Indian markets from moving down.
Technical Overview: Last week Nifty made high of 8788 and low of 8553. A range of almost 235 points. Last
week we had given a support level near 8570. Markets are now trading
near this support. We may see a bounce back from this level on Monday.
However this bounce back does not mean that Nifty has resumed the
uptrend. The cycle of Lower Top Lower Bottom may soon be evident on the
Nifty chart. Nifty has formed new resistance level near 8700-8790. The market is slowly turning into sell on rise market from trading perspective. Coming week we have F&O expiry. Markets may remain choppy
Short Term (Few days to a Week) : On hourly chart trading in cycle of lower top lower bottom. One can sell Nifty near 8750 for possible target of 8550
Medium Term (Few weeks to a month): Next good support to Nifty is seen at 8325-8235. One can sell Nifty on rise near 8750 for target of 8350.
Long Term (Few months to Year): Long term investors must not confuse this downtrend
with the bear market. This can just a correction in Nifty and can last
little longer. Long term investors should use this opportunity to
accumulate good stocks.
Bank Nifty is
trading near its support. One can see some bounce from this level.
However the current trend remains down. One can sell on rise in Bank
Nifty.
CNX IT has nicely consolidated near current level. One can see good bounce in IT stocks from here.Short term buying can be done in IT stocks.
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Last week Target achieved in INFY and JSWENERGY and Stop-loss triggered in KTKBANK. Total Profit 19,600.
Above prices are spot prices and profit/loss calculated with 1 Futures lot
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