NIFTY View For Week 4-8 May
The correction that was anticipated, has come about faster than the expectations. In-spite of healthy global markets, Indian markets continued to fell. What next?
Technical Overview: Last week Nifty made high of 8334 and low of 8114. A range of almost 220 points. I could not write this newsletter last week. For the
week 20-24 Apr, I had suggested sell on rise in Nifty. Nifty has been
falling consistently for last 10 trading sessions, with an exception of green candles on 22nd and 24th April. Markets cannot fall one way. They run in cycles of Lower Top Lower Bottom or Higher Top Higher
Bottom. One such lower top seem to be done. We have support at current
level. MACD is showing positive divergence. Bearish Options are facing
resistance at higher levels.
This
suggest that that Nifty can take support at current level and a over
upward bounce may come about. I expect Nifty to trade with clear
positive bias for the week come. Bears should take care of their short
positions.
Support range is 8150-8065. Resistance is in the range of 8400-8500.
Short Term (Few days to a Week) : Short term traders can buy Nifty at current level for a target of 100-125 points. This target should come fast.
Medium Term (Few weeks to a month): For
medium term traders, there cane be 2 possibilities. 1. Buy at current
level and hold Nifty for a rally of 200 points. 2. Sell Nifty near the
resistance mentioned above, again for a target of 200 points downward.
The short selling may be done only after Nifty gives indication of a
bearish move.
Long Term (Few months to Year): The bull market is still intact. Long term investors should focus on accumulating value stocks.
Bank Nifty: We had mentioned support at 17700 in our last post. Bank
Nifty is attempting a give an upward move, now, from this level. It can
give an upward rally for the week to come. Buy on dip in Bank Nifty
Coming week, bottom fishing opportunities would be ample.
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Last week Target achieved in ADANIENT and TATASTEEL and stoploss triggered in SRTRANSFIN. Total Profit Rs. 17,125/-.
Above prices are spot prices and profit/loss calculated with 1 Futures lot
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