Thursday, May 26, 2016

PSU Banks a good short term contra bet

PSU Banks in India have always been vulnerable to Govt Policies. Quarterly results produced a mixed set of performance.

Sector Index has been falling consistently since Jan 2015. Though the overall market was also not been doing good from since the same date, the difference here is that, many other sectors have tried to bounce during better periods. However for the similar periods the spike in PSU bank stock has been minimal barring some exceptions like SBI.

From monthly chart enclosed here, you can see that PSU Bank Index is trading near its low of Feb 2016. Most Technical Indicators are oversold. The index chart is also trading near gap which was formed on 2 March 2016. This suggests an expected demand level in most PSU Bank Stocks.

On daily chart the Index chart showing a nice momentum. Next resistance is around 2300 which is 5% from here. On a little higher time frame the index can move up to 2900 levels in couple of months. That makes it an upside of 33% from current levels.

Though charts and overall performance is currently not looking good, this can be treated as a contra bet.


Some banks on radar can be IOB, State Bank of India, Allahabad Bank, Andhra Bank, Union Bank   


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